The 810 Varsity Prediction Machine has simulated the matchups 1,000 times each, and below are the Kansas Class 6A substate predictions.
Teams who could surprise and advance to state
SM East/Blue Valley winner over Harmon - Both have nice inside/outside talent, which the inside games can hurt Harmon.
Blue Valley West - senior laden group who can get it going in the final week
Olathe South - Played toe-to-toe with Olathe West on February 21.
EAST
Class 6A
Substate #1
Harmon vs Gardner-Edgerton: Hawks backcourt too much for the Blazers. Hawks experience of getting to state last year should push them through – but beware in the substate final!
Shawnee Mission East vs Blue Valley: The winner will be a tough out against Harmon. SM East will grind it down and have had some big late-game heroics from Nick Arensberg. Blue Valley has talent and now not going against the EKL grind, may make some noise.
Predicted champion: Harmon over SM East
Substate #2
BV Northwest vs Mill Valley: Huskies in a landslide
SM Northwest vs SM South: District rivals facing is a toss up.
Predicted champion: Blue Valley Northwest over SM South
Substate #3
Blue Valley North vs Olathe Northwest: Mustangs have been playing well, should move onwards
Olathe North vs Blue Valley West: Both teams been up and down all year. BV West has a few more seniors and more consistent play the last six weeks.
Predicted champion: Blue Valley North over BV West
Substate #4
Olathe West vs Olathe East: This substate is a battle of the Olathe’s, and any of the three can win it. For the Owls, a narrow win over Olathe South just two weeks ago will be hard to beat a team twice in a couple weeks.
Olathe South vs Wyandotte: Falcons should advance, which gives them a higher % of advancing to state.
Predicted champion: Olathe South over Olathe West
WEST
Substate #1
Predicted Champion: Haysville over Derby
Substate #2
Predicted Champion: Washburn Rural over Manhattan
Substate #3
Predicted Champion: Lawrence over Wichita Southeast
Substate #4
Predicted Champion: Free State over Topeka
Tag(s): Home News Basketball (B) Kansas Eastern Kansas Blue Valley BV North BV Northwest BV West Mill Valley Sunflower Free State Gardner Lawrence Olathe East Olathe North Olathe NW Olathe South Olathe West SM East SM North SM Northwest SM South SM West Meadowlark Harmon Wyandotte Centennial Junction City Manhattan Washburn Rural Topeka Topeka West