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Predictions: Missouri Districts

By Chad Rader, 810 Varsity, 10/27/21, 11:45AM CDT

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Check out predictions, chances of winning districts

Below are the chances for each team to win its district, per 810 Varsity. Percentages are based on home field, path in the brackets and more.

Also are the predicted winners for Kansas City-area districts.

Class 6, District 3
Lee's Summit North: 51%
Raymore-Peculiar: 25%
Joplin: 10%
Nixa: 8%
Lee's Summit: 3%
Lee's Summit West: 3%

Prediction: This is a matchup of SW Missouri vs Kansas City. We'd like to think KC-area strength of schedule will prevail, but there will be a Joplin make a run. Regardless, will be a homer and take the four KC schools to win. In the end, the battle between LSN and Ray-Pec should be the district winner.
 Lee's Summit North beats Raymore-Peculiar


Class 6, District 4
Liberty North: 65%
Rockhurst: 10%
Park Hill South: 10%
Liberty: 10%
Park Hill/Others: 5%

Prediction: Liberty North handled No. 3 Liberty and No. 4 Park Hill by a combined 86-16 score. But a Liberty rematch is always a rivalry game. Park Hill and Rockhurst have been up and down, but strength of schedule can be misleading, and likely wins out in the second round. 
Liberty North over Rockhurst

Class 5, District 7
Grain Valley: 50%
Raytown: 30%
Belton: 20%

Prediction: Really a wide open district, as No. 1 Grain Valley beat No. 2 Raytown and No. 3 Belton by just a score in each contest. However, they do get a bye, which is an easier path.
Grain Valley over Raytown


Class 5, District 8
Platte County: 40%
Fort Osage: 35%
Staley: 15%
North Kansas City: 5%
Oak Park: 5%

Prediction: Fort Osage is the top seed and gets a bye, but Platte County has merely made the state finals in two straight years, and faced a tougher schedule.
Platte County over Fort Osage

Class 4, District 7
Lincoln Prep: 60%
Warrensburg: 15%
Nevada: 10%
Harrisonville: 5%
Grandview: 5%
Bolivar: 5%

Prediction: Lincoln Prep has been in this slot before and fell shy of a district title, but this year, the Tigers did so against a much better schedule. The running game of Harrisonville could be a threat, especially in November conditions. Nevada or Warrensburg could be sneaky in the right game.
Lincoln Prep over Warrensburg

Class 4, District 8
Smithville: 80%
Excelsior Springs: 10%
Kearney: 5%
Lafayette: 5%

Predictions: Obviously this feels like Smithville's for the taking, and deservedly so. Perhaps Excelsior Springs gets ahead and runs the ball in November is a threat.
Smithville over Excelsior Springs

Class 3, District 7
Odessa: 40%
Center: 30%
Oak Grove: 10%
Pleasant Hill: 10%
Summit Christian: 10%

Prediction: While on paper, this looks likes Odessa yet again - and it may be - Odessa beat Oak Grove, Pleasant Hill and Center by a collective 12 points. So a rematch isn't a guarantee for OHS.
Odessa over Center 

Class 3, District 8
St. Pius X: 90%
Others: 10%

Prediction: I'd like to sugar coat it, but no threat here for SPX
St. Pius X takes it

Class 2, District 8
Richmond: 50%
St. Michael: 40%
Hogan Prep: 5%
Pembroke Hill: 5%

Prediction: Really is Richmond vs St. Michael, as Richmond blasted Pembroke, and St. Michael's has been playing well, including a blowout of Hogan Prep. 
Richmond over St. Michael

Class 1, District 8 
Mid-Buchanan: 40%
East Buchanan: 25%
University Academy: 25%
West Platte: 10%

Prediction: There was outcry when UA leapfrogged the pack for the top seed, but a stronger strength of schedule won out. And perhaps it will still.
Mid-Buchanan over University Academy

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